Monday, October 31, 2016

Comey's Questioned Announcement Throws Electorate for Another Loop

FBI Director James Comey
There's just eight days left in this election season, and it's been an interesting few days.

On Friday, news dropped that the FBI is not done looking into Hillary Clinton's e-mails after all.  Looks like this time the e-mails in question live on a computer shared by Huma Abedin, a Clinton aide and former Department of State staffer, and her estranged husband, Anthony Weiner.  They were apparently discovered during an investigation into Weiner's sexting habits.

Questions have been raised by many individuals about the timing of the announcement by FBI Director James Comey.  This is a huge matzo ball now hanging over the election on November 8, and it does appear to be having a small effect on the polls nationally and in the individual states.

The thing is no one, including Comey and the FBI, seem to know exactly what's in the e-mails and only obtained a warrant to begin looking into them this weekend.  This is most certainly going to drag out until after the election with most experts saying that there's likely nothing new to add to the inquiry the FBI closed without filing charges against Hillary Clinton earlier this year.

I'm writing this based upon my understanding of the case, and what I've heard from experts.  The polls were trending Donald Trump's way ever so slightly.  As October surprises go, this one seems to be fairly weak on the surface, but it's not your normal election.

Should be interesting to see if Trump can make hay out of this or if something from his past or present will come back to haunt him.  Also, as Nate Silver from Five-Thirty-Eight pointed out, there are tons of early votes already in the bag.  

I think it's clear we're in for a long Election Night.  I think this one will be a nailbiter.

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