Monday, October 19, 2015

Mayoral Debate Won't Change Anything

The two Mayoral candidates debated, and I'm pretty sure few of you saw it.  Why Channel 8 would schedule the debate on a Friday at 6:30 p.m. is anyone's guess?

I watched it on replay on WISH's website, and it was a pretty low-key affair that leaves me wondering what Chuck Brewer's path to victory is.  He didn't take the fight to Joe Hogsett at all as I expected he might, and he has a couple of good lines he could use that I've heard on the campaign trail.  Brewer will sometimes needle Hogsett for his past electoral history or the stretch perception that Hogsett is using the Mayor's office as a stepping stone.

Instead, Brewer stuck to the script, and he's good at it.  He's a very good candidate, and the Republicans were lucky to find him after so many had said no.  A very good candidate won't defeat an exceptional candidate like Joe Hogsett without some help.  Hogsett has not given Brewer even the first blink of help and is running a perfect campaign.

The only path to victory that I see for Brewer is a race where extremely few people turn out and in the right areas of town.  If that happens, that's very bad news for the Marion County Democratic Party because it could mean Republicans will control both the Mayor's Office and the City-County Council.  That's why it's so important that Democrats refuse to take this election off.  It's a must to show up and vote and, if possible, to bank those votes early.

I still don't have a handle on what's going to happen on Election Night.  I think Joe Hogsett's going to be the next Mayor of Indianapolis, but the margin and the Council he gets to work with are largely up to the voters.

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