Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Battle for Indiana's 2016 U.S. Senate Seat

Tom LoBianco took a look at the Indiana U.S. Senate Race in the Indianapolis Star yesterday.

His work is here, but I think you can see among our state's Congressional Delegation who's building a possible war chest for a run if you look at their financial affairs as reported by Abdul-Hakim Shabazz on his Indy Politics website.

Two of our sitting Congressional representatives have over $1,000,000 in their campaign war chests in really non-competitive districts.  Todd Young has $1.11 million on hand, and Todd Rokita has $1.04 million on hand.  This easily puts them well ahead of the declared candidate, Eric Holcomb who has $125,000 in his account.  Marlin Stutzman has been mentioned as a possible candidate as well with $423K in his campaign account.

Of course, all of these candidates could hold off to 2018 as well.  Joe Donnelly is up for reelection that year though it would seem that their chances might be better in an open seat year.  That would be 2016.  The negative is that by declaring for Senate that they would have to give up their House seat.  To me, it just seems peculiar that both Todds would be holding on to this kind of campaign cash without any kind of purpose behind it when they likely will not need it in a tight reelection fight.

As far as Democrats who might run, Baron Hill's name is still being bandied about along with State Representative Christina Hale who seems very interested in a run.  She could be a wild card.  Hale has served a potential swing district in the Indiana House and has prevailed in two pretty tough election fights.  She has been a champion of women's issues in the state legislature.  Hale is the General Assembly's only Latino legislator.

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