|Mayor Greg Ballard|
Ballard gives Republicans their last best chance to keep the office. While he doesn't owe the Republican Party anything as they did not support him in 2007, I just can't imagine what's left of the Marion County Republican Party will let him walk away. He's excellent as a fundraiser, and people like him.
That's why he keeps winning. Despite his propensity to make some really bad ideas reality, Ballard is a bit like a teflon candidate. Nothing sticks to him.
When his high dollar campaign contributors get contracts with the city, it doesn't stick. When people in his administration get indicted, it doesn't stick. When he recklessly spends city money on pet projects, it doesn't stick. When he admits dodging the Council because he knows it will take some heavy lifting and some compromise to get his proposal done, it doesn't stick to him. Bart Peterson and Melina Kennedy found out that running the wrong campaign against Greg Ballard sends you to defeat. It's up to Frank Short, Ed Delaney, or Joe Hogsett (if he runs) to make it stick.
If Ballard decides to not run for reelection, he's leaving with the job undone. He told us for seven years now that public safety is job one. With our city in the midst of a crime wave, the last thing a Marine is known for is running away. Since it's such a part of his brand, I don't think Ballard will do that. I think he will try to make the case that he's the man to solve the problem.
I clearly disagree with that notion, but that's another blog post. I see Ballard running for a third term, but, like Bart Peterson before him, third time won't be a charm.