Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Brat Spoils Cantor's Reelection Campaign; Shocks Political World With Stunning Win

David Brat
Last night, every incumbent on both sides of the aisle had to shudder when the mighty Cantor went down in Virginia.

The second-in-command Republican in the U.S. House is done.  Hard to believe because no one...including Eric Cantor himself...probably thought he was in trouble.  So, today, we're left to try to make sense of what happened yesterday in Virginia's Fightin' 7th.

At the very basic level, Tea Party candidate David Brat defeated the powerhouse Cantor by a wide margin.  It wasn't even close, and it was called well before all the votes were counted.  I'd like to say that Cantor's arrogance cost him, but that would mean that I would have seen this coming.  As has been widely reported, Cantor never expected it as his internal polls had him up 34 percentage points over Brat.

I didn't even know there was a Primary in Virginia until the news broke that Cantor was done.

To be frank, I don't know what to make of this.  Trying to put it into context is unbelievably hard since something like this hasn't happened since the 19th Century.  The world was quite different then.  Elections were quite different then.  Women, for example, couldn't vote.

Eric Cantor
That said, with Mitch McConnell in trouble in Kentucky and now Cantor going down in Virginia, I think it's safe to say that people aren't satisfied with either party's leadership in Washington.  President Barack Obama's approval rating ranges from the high 30's in the Reuters/IPSOS poll to the high 40's in the Rasmussen poll.  Congressional job approval stands at 13.4 percent, according to Real Clear Politics.

The bottom line is people are fed up with what's going on in Washington, and Cantor is a clear reflection of the current gridlocked government we have.  I think you saw as well the battle for the soul of the Republican Party playing out again in living color right in front of us all.  While the Tea Party's influence has waned a bit, it still wields a heavy hammer in the Primary.

Now is David Brat going to be any better?  He's an unknown commodity.  Brat credited his election to God working through the people on Fox News and called it a miracle.  We'll find out if Brat is worthy over the next few months.

The only thing we know is that the incredibly-powerful Cantor lost to an unknown guy with the last name of Brat.  That, my friends, is irony.


Anonymous said...

Excellent analysis Jon...both sides of the aisle need to be very wary. This certainly isn't a Teapot-Repub split...there is much more to this. This is exactly as you say, total dissatisfaction with DC.

Gregg West said...

Could it be, that people are saying, "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it anymore!"?