Mike Pence, David Long, and Brian Bosma could barely wait until the ink was dry on the Supreme Court's DOMA decision to announce they would be bringing back up amending the Indiana Constitution to allow only male-female marriage in the state of Indiana. They believe it's a slam dunk and that it will pass easily to the voters. I'm not so sure.
2014 will be an election year, so the General Assembly will be watched even more carefully than usual. The Resolutions that passed the Indiana House and the Indiana Senate in the last General Assembly pretty much outlaws anything resembling marriage unless it's straight marriage. That includes categories of relationships that many individuals in Indiana enjoy being a part of today. Domestic partnerships and civil unions between straight couples would be dissolved if this General Assembly passes the legislation and the voters vote to write that discrimination into the Indiana Constitution. I'm not convinced that the members of the Indiana General Assembly want that kind of heat.
This process is redundant as well. Indiana has had its own version of a DOMA-like piece of legislation on the books for years. This would be like wearing two overcoats on top of your suit to make sure you're extra protected. I thought we wanted smaller government with less regulation...right?
The Governor is out of this at this point. While he foolishly released a statement that sounded like it was written in 2004 let alone 2013, the resolutions that will generate the referendum will not cross his desk if they pass. He could have been content to keep his mouth shut, but he chose to speak. It's no surprise what he said when he opened his mouth.
At this point, I think Long and Bosma can squeak a resolution through the House and the Senate, but I think you'll see a vigorous fight with a lot of mess along the way. Stepping right in this wedge issue before an election may be a huge mistake. If this makes it to the voters on Election Day, it will cause a huge turnout, in my opinion, for an off year election. With the resolution that this legislature has to pass, I'm not sure that's a positive thing for the Indiana GOP.
If 2014 wasn't interesting enough on its own merit, it just got more interesting with more at stake for marriage equality advocates across the state.