|Former Massachusetts Governor|
In that 2008 Primary, Romney did well in counties neighboring Massachusetts, Romney fell short in 2008 to John McCain who used the victory to propel himself forward to the eventual nomination. Romney got 31 percent of the vote. Tonight, he should easily outdistance the rest of the field, but the question will be who wins enough support to realistically continue on to South Carolina as well as who finishes in the second place spot.
So far, it's been Ron Paul finding himself riding shotgun to Romney. He's been right around 20 percent in the polls while the other candidates continue to jockey around. I think regardless of what happens that Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Perry will continue to South Carolina. None of them really expect to win there in New Hampshire. This, however, is gut check time for Jon Huntsman.
I think Huntsman must break into the top four to continue his bid, and it's going to be a close fight for him. He could conceivably come in as high as second, but it's more likely that Paul finishes second. I think Santorum's surge from Iowa carries him home in third. Huntsman slots in fourth with Gingrich behind in fifth. Rick Perry should have dropped out after failing to make much impact in Iowa, but he clearly doesn't know when to quit. He will be a distant sixth and probably still go on to South Carolina and make his last stand instead of back to Texas where he belongs.
President Barack Obama continues to be in a strong position for reelection.