Wednesday, November 2, 2011

WISH Poll Provides Signs of Concern, Opportunity for ALL Candidates

The WISH-TV Franklin College Poll released just moments ago shows Melina Kennedy may still have some work to do in these last six days before the election, but Mayor Greg Ballard is not out of the woods just yet.

The poll puts Ballard with just 44 percent of the 400 likely voters saying they are supporting him. Kennedy has 33 percent support. Libertarian Chris Bowen has two percent, and there's a whopping 21 percent of undecided voters. The poll has a 4.9 percent error margin.

Now, here come the normal questions. Who was polled? Were minorities properly represented? Blah blah blah. The point is that this poll is just one poll, and it's a snapshot of the race and should provide concerns for all candidates in the race.

For Ballard, the poll puts him at a 62 percent approval rating, but that doesn't explain the 18 percent differential between his support level and that number. Fifty-five percent of the respondents said that the city is on the right track. That's also above Ballard's total.

For Kennedy, the top two reasons that people polled say they are voting for her is that she's a Democrat, and she's not Greg Ballard. That translates into her message perhaps is not getting out.

Again, this is just one poll, and that 21 percent of undecided voters is an IMMENSE number of undecideds right now that provides a tremendous opportunity for the challenger.

This is still a race. All voters should show up on November 8 at the polls because your vote could make the difference.

1 comment:

Paul K. Ogden said...

Kennedy needs to be specific in going after Ballard. The Pacer 33.5 million gift is a bombshell. So too is the parking meter deal. People were livid at Ballard for those two things among others. But she's been unwilling to lose them.

The trouble is now she's running out of time. You normally have to define your opponent early and then the last weekend you wrap up with positives.