


(Left to Right: Greg Bowes, Terry Curry, David Orentlicher NOT PICTURED: Lowell Shroyer)
I hope everyone had a great holiday weekend. I spent it with friends and family.
My poll on the Prosecutor's race closed at midnight, and it shows a number of interesting...albeit...unscientific things.
Before we get down to analysis, I want to say the following things.
First of all, I like all four candidates. I know all four candidates (some better than others), and I enjoy talking with them. I hope we can all be friends after they read my post. These are just my opinions and have nothing to do with them as people or whether I would support them as candidates should they emerge as the Democratic candidate. I would without any reservations.
Secondly, I make no claims that my poll is the be all end all poll. It is simply a very very very unscientific snapshot of what the readers of this blog think. My readers are wide and varied across the political spectrum, so take the results for what they are. I will use them to give a sketch of the race as I see it on 9/8/09. There's still a long long way to go. I do believe, however, that given what I am hearing and seeing as I go around the county, that it represents at least a reasonable facsimile of what's going on in the race right now.
Terry Curry took the early lead, but David Orentlicher mounted a comeback and both show broad support among the readers of my blog after near even results between them.
For Curry, a former candidate for the office and former Deputy Prosecutor, the unscientific poll results show that the early work he has put in is doing good things. Some have seen Curry's lack of name recognition countywide as a negative, but his ever-presence at events across Marion County seems to have closed the name recognition gap and seems to have made him one of the two front runners...at least amongst my blog readers.
David Orentlicher, the lawyer/physician/educator and former State Representative, enjoys a great deal of name recognition, and there is no doubt that the man can raise money. The albatross that seems to follow him around in Democratic circles is the concern that Orentlicher has no experience as a Deputy Prosecutor. He does have unique and varied experiences compared to other candidates, but will David O's experience as a Constitutional Law Professor and State Legislator will assuage these concerns?
While he's done an admirable job as Marion County Assessor, Greg Bowes showed little support in my poll. Why? Well, running for Prosecutor as the perceived tax man never is probably a good idea. In my opinion, Bowes needs to be playing up his passion for the Prosecutor's Office (he says this is the office he wanted to pursue all along) and his experience as a former Deputy Prosecutor. Bowes could be using the job he's done as Assessor to his advantage, but he needs to put it in terms of what he would do to the Prosecutor's Office. His job got infinitely tougher when Mitch Daniels froze assessments and his office had to absorb the duties of all nine township assessors as well. He's done a great job. Stop telling us when our next bills are coming unless you are speaking as Assessor. He needs to make the distinction. Bowes also has been the least committal about whether or not he will stay in the race after slating and support the winner. Orentlicher, Curry, and Shroyer have all pledged to leave the race after slating...Bowes, so far, has not divulged his plans.
That brings us to Lowell "Butch" Shroyer. With trial experience, law enforcement experience, and a very interesting personal story, Shroyer has done a nice job on the club circuit as the first candidate to get out and about saying he was interested in the office. Hurting him now, ironically, is that he's the last candidate to jump into the pool, at least officially. He has not committed to running, so many of his potential supporters may feel like they are hanging out there as the troops begin to coalesce around the other three candidates.
For Orentlicher and Curry, the extremely unscientific poll results should show they are the two that readers of my blog prefer most to be the Democratic candidate for Prosecutor. Bowes should look at the poll and be a little concerned. I think he's getting lost in his own message. Butch needs to decide soon what his plans will be for the campaign. He's falling behind further in the race for money and supporters.
Whatever happens, I say this again, any of the four of these qualified and dynamic candidates can carry the Democratic Party banner proudly forward as Marion County Prosecutor. I have no concerns about any of them being a better and more responsive Prosecutor than Carl Brizzi.
I invite any of the four candidates for Prosecutor to comment on the poll, and I will publish the comments.